Empiricist Decision-Making: PH'1L2
Deciding requires agreements on the facts of the matter. Some deciders assume that the facts will in themselves point to a unique best solution over which there can be no sensible argument.
The method is popular amongst science-based academics and consultants. It is also a common base for much popular advice.
Any success from planning is self-delusion or luck. I know Miss R graduated summa cum laude, and good for her. But out in the real world we all know that plans and goals are a fantasy game. Long documents are produced that nobody ever reads. Anyway, reality shifts and the plans become outdated within weeks if not sooner. No!
The only way to achieve is to determine the problem that underpins the issues people are complaining about. One you get the facts you can find realistic solutions because you have a solid basis for discussion and agreement. Actually, what to do is usually self-evident because the facts speak for themselves!
Of course, you must minimize the risks of unexpected obstacles, costs or side-effects, so it is best to pilot the solution, collecting information as you go. Then you can roll out the solution with confidence.
Decision Process & Typical Terminology
Note: The schema is artificial. Typical language is highlighted.
Conceptual Schema | Empiricist Handling |
---|---|
Start | Note an evident problem and reduce it to a manageable size. |
Explore | Using available information define the «real» problem in terms of what is meaningful and resolvable. |
Develop Possibilities | Obtain facts relevant to the problem or hypothesized solutions and pull out implications. |
Resolve | Recognize the optimal (i.e. unique best) solution and adopt it. |
Reiterate | Test the solution in a pilot version with comprehensive collection of data. |
Implement | Promulgate the solution and expect agreement and relevant action. |
Review | Control process and record progressive results. Obtain evidence to show whether the problem is solved. |
Handle Failure | Revise the protocol; or redefine the original problem. |
Reminder of the Schema Principles
Next step:
► Test yourself and read more on decision-making.
► Continue to the Pragmatic approach
► Return to the Summary Table
Originally posted: 3-Apr-2011